Skenes' strikeout rate has dipped sharply in recent starts despite his talent. Over his last five outings, he's struck out just 19 batters across 25.3 innings—a 6.75 K/9 pace that sits well below his season 10.51 K/9, and his most recent start against Los Angeles saw him exit after 5.1 innings with only 2 strikeouts. The Cubs' lineup doesn't chase much (21.3% K rate, below league average), and their hitters—Crow-Armstrong, Bregman, and Happ—have combined for just 25 strikeouts over their last 10 games despite 97 plate appearances. Skenes' recent workload and pitch efficiency suggest a shorter outing today, making it unlikely he accumulates six strikeouts.