The Edge. Where Savant and the market disagree.

Savant read The first-quarter total of 7.5 is low, and both offenses will move the ball early: Denver's opening drive is scripted to establish rhythm and control, while Kansas City's defense, despite ranking 5th in EPA allowed, will face a Broncos offense that generates +0.015 EPA per play and has averaged 74 points across three games (24.7 per game). The Broncos' methodical opening attack will result in a field goal or touchdown; Kansas City's offense, despite its struggles, will get one possession in the opening quarter and has the talent to move the ball early before the game script tightens. Both teams will combine for at least 8 points in the first 15 minutes.