The market is pricing in a garbage-time script where Arizona throws all game, but a 10-point deficit that widens into a blowout rarely sustains that volume. Once the Chargers build a comfortable lead, the Cardinals' passing game compresses — they'll run clock and abandon deep routes, which limits Harrison's catch opportunities even if he stays on the field. He's averaging 3.4 receptions per game on a 3-year baseline of 3.6, and in a game that gets out of hand early, he'll finish closer to 3 than 4. The Chargers' pass defense is stingy enough to keep him from the volume spike the line assumes.