Baltimore's run-first game plan and a lead-friendly script squeeze Andrews' target share. The Ravens will ride Henry and milk the clock, which means fewer passing plays overall and less opportunity for Andrews to rack up receptions. While Indianapolis's pass defense gives up more than average to receivers, that advantage evaporates when Baltimore simply doesn't throw enough—Andrews is averaging 4.1 targets per game, but in a game where the Ravens control tempo and lean on the ground, he'll see fewer looks. Savant projects 3.30 receptions, just shy of the line, and the run-heavy script keeps him from reaching 4.