Detroit's implied total of 28 points sets up a high-scoring script with multiple kicking opportunities. Bates averages 1.6 field goals and 3.2 PATs per game; in a game where the Lions are favored and expected to control pace, he'll see more scoring chances than a typical week. The Over of 2.5 requires 3+ combined field goals and extra points — a realistic outcome in a game built for volume.