Kincaid's 14.6 yards per catch is elite for a tight end, and he needs just one shot downfield to clear 16.5. He's averaging 4.2 targets per game, giving him multiple opportunities to connect on a vertical route. Houston's pass defense clamps down overall, but Kincaid's size and catch radius make him a natural outlet for Allen on intermediate-to-deep shots when the Bills need to move the chains. One 17-yard reception in a neutral game script is well within his range.