Philadelphia's game script runs through the ground game, not the tight end. The Eagles are favored and will control the clock with Saquon Barkley, who's averaging 17.6 carries per game — that workload eats passing plays and limits Goedert's target share. Washington's pass defense gives up more than average to receivers, but Goedert's role shrinks in a game the Eagles are built to win by running. He's averaging 5.5 targets per game this season, but in a game script tilted toward run-heavy clock management, he stays under 4 receptions.