DJ Moore's baseline sits at 48 yards per game over three years, and he's hitting that mark consistently enough to clear 45.5 in a neutral script. Buffalo's pass defense plays average to receivers, giving Moore room to operate in the middle of the field where he's averaged 13.3 yards per catch this season. He's seeing 5.0 targets per game — a steady diet that should produce at least one or two chunk plays to get over the number in a game where neither team is chasing or running out the clock.