Lamb's 5.8 catches per game is a high baseline, but the Giants' secondary bleeds yards to receivers while their run defense is stout—a setup that invites Dallas to lean on the ground game in a neutral script. Savant projects him at exactly 6 receptions, and his 3-year floor sits at 4 catches; he's streaky enough that a game at or below his projection is well within his range. At 6.5, the line prices in a catch-heavy day; Lamb's volume should compress when Dallas can move the ball on the ground and doesn't need to force him into a high-target role.