Strange is averaging 3.8 catches on 5.0 targets per game, but Jacksonville's run-heavy game script and the Jaguars' lead-protecting approach will limit his catch volume. Cleveland's pass defense is about average, so there's no elite shutdown, but the game plan—fewer passing attempts overall—keeps Strange just under his 3.5 line; he's streaky at 3-year baseline of 3.2 catches per game, and today's run-first approach pushes him toward the Under.