Robinson's 133-yard projection masks a trailing script that will sideline his ground game. Atlanta is an underdog in Pittsburgh, which means the Falcons will be forced to pass early and often—a game script that shrinks his rushing volume and limits his ability to rack up yards on the ground. His 16.9 carries per game and 87 rushing yards per game are season averages; in a negative game flow, he'll see fewer carries and shorter runs, and his receiving work won't compensate enough to push past 121 total yards.