Webb's last five starts are a disaster, and Milwaukee's bats are dangerous against it. Logan Webb has posted a 5.76 ERA over his last five outings with a 1.15 WHIP—he's been hit hard and walking batters—while Milwaukee's lineup carries a .333 xwOBA (well above the .320 average) and strikes out just 21.1% of the time, meaning they make contact and don't chase. The Brewers' hitters all sport xwOBAs between .304 and .352 against righties, and Brice Turang (.917 OPS, .348 xwOBA vs RHP) and Garrett Mitchell (.837 OPS, .352 xwOBA) are particularly sharp. On the flip side, Shane Drohan's 3.33 xERA and 0.283 xwOBA allowed show he's pitching better than his recent 4.20 ERA suggests, and San Francisco's lineup is mired in a 4.4 R/G clip over the last week—well below their season 4.14 average—with Rafael Devers (.560 OPS vs LHP) and Heliot Ramos (.167 avg, 15 K in 10 G) both struggling badly against lefties. Milwaukee's above-average 3.45 bullpen ERA will hold down a Giants offense that has no momentum, while Webb's deteriorating form hands the Brewers multiple runs. This is a multi-run gap.