81°F52%13mph NWClear· wind OUT to CF (helps hitters)
Toronto Blue Jays
49-58W1
5th in division · 14.0 GB
WLLLLWLWLW
Savant projects
5.4–5.0
TORproj. runsWSH
TOR 51%win49% WSH
Total 10.4 · leans over 9.5
Washington Nationals
54-53L1
3rd in division · 8.5 GB
WLWWLWLWWL
Season series Blue Jays 1–0 Nationals · 1 met
◆ Savant read Zack Littell is pitching like a disaster (7.94 ERA over his last five starts, xERA 6.28 for the season) against a Toronto lineup that's been quiet but features Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and George Springer — both hitting well recently — in a park with neutral factors and a 13 mph wind blowing out to center field. Washington's bullpen is also the worst in this matchup (4.98 ERA vs Toronto's 3.87), and the Nationals are clinging to a wild-card spot (1.0 GB) while Toronto is eliminated from contention, removing any desperation edge. The Blue Jays' top of the order has a platoon disadvantage (only 3 of 9 bats favor RHP), but Littell's recent form is so poor and the wind so favorable for fly-ball carry that Toronto's bats should find enough damage. This is a matchup where the visiting team's offense has a clear edge against a vulnerable starter in a hitter-friendly environment.
Key players
Pitching matchup
Trey Yesavage
Blue Jays · RHP
ERA 3.92WHIP 1.18IP 85.0K/9 9.21W–L 4-5
Last 5: 4.81 ERA · 1.19 WHIP · 24.3 IP · 29 K · last 4.0 IP, 3 ER, 9 K
xERA 3.33xwOBA .283xBA .197xSLG .326
Arsenal
Four-Seam47%
Splitter29%
Slider24%
BullpenERA 3.87· rested
Opposing lineup bats vs RHP
Zack Littell
Nationals · RHP
ERA 5.17WHIP 1.34IP 101.0K/9 5.88W–L 7-8
Last 5: 7.94 ERA · 1.50 WHIP · 22.7 IP · 13 K · last 6.0 IP, 8 ER, 4 K
